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- š¤ š” Selling Austin #35
š¤ š” Selling Austin #35
Is Austin Going Down? š
Hi yāall, welcome!
There are now over 1,000 Selling Austin readers! Iām so excited each one of you is here, your support means so much to me.
Pay attention to some serious Developer Drama š + letās check the data - is Austin going down?? š
If we havenāt met, hi! š Iām Kirtana, an ex-dentist turned Realtor. Thinking about buying a house, listing your home for sale or renting?
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(*unbiased opinion)
WHAT'S INSIDE
š¢ THE DATA
There seems to be dull chatter that Austin has gone downhill since the pandemic. Iāve had people ask me where I think the Austin market is headed and if this āZoom townā is going to bust.
Iām still bullish. Letās break down why:
During the pandemic, Austinās economy grew at almost double the national rate. It was unsustainable growth and caused home prices to skyrocket. 60% from 2020 to 2022. Rising interest rates tempered the national market but Austin had the largest drop, 11% since its 2022 peak. This was a needed corrective response to the markets bloated high. There are pockets of overbuilding - the speed and density was based on pandemic growth projections. We see this resulting in dropping rents and concessions on downtown high-rises.
Here are some concrete numbers that illustrate the future of Austin.
Letās talk Rainey.
Anyone remember what that looked like a decade ago?
There are now 11 residential high-rises that are opened/under construction. Estimates come in at 3,800 apartments and 6.4M+ square feet of development (thatās just in Rainey)!
If anyone remembers the Bungalow bar - it sold for $9.3M and is now the home of The Modern - a 365 unit building.
These enormous properties arenāt sitting vacant.
Multiple towers still under construction have pre-sold 60%+.
The tallest building in Texas.
Welcome to, the Waterline
Waterline
1,022 ft tall and 2.7 MILLION (yes, million) square feet.
Thatās huge, whatās inside?
700,000 sqft office space
352 condos
251 hotel rooms
24,000 sqft outdoor space
World class developers - the architects of Hudson Yards and One Vanderbilt will put their mark on Austin.
The executives behind Waterline consider āRainey (is) its own version of Soho or Tribeca.ā
All that to say - we are just at the beginning.
š¤ WHATāS HAPPENING AROUND TOWN
It seems like every time I blink, something new pops up in Austin. But not everything is as it seemsā¦
If youāre looking to buy or invest - welcome to your unfair advantage. Know whatās happening before everyone else.
Hereās the story of a $2B portfolio thatās going to 0. With more twists and turns than a reality show - (raised $6.7 from investors for a property they never bought, gross negligence and lawsuitsā¦)
Interested? Check it out:
Think 8% rates are bad? How do you feel about a $3M loan at 280%?
From a $2B portfolio to bankruptcy, egregious mismanagement of funds and investigations by the FBI, IRS, and SEC. This is Texasā biggest real estate meltdown.
The story of, StoryBuilt.
I read 100ās of articlesā¦ x.com/i/web/status/1ā¦
ā Kirtana (@kirtanareddyy)
9:58 PM ā¢ Feb 22, 2024
āļø WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU
If youāre a buyer/seller/investor/renter or just interested in real estate - this weekly newsletter will help guide your decision making and help you better understand the market.
Buyer - Competition historically increases when rates get cut | Seller - Keep in mind that Election season has proven to decrease transaction volume - list before or after | Renter - Seeing big complexes offer 6-8 weeks free |
š¤¤ HOUSE WORTH DROOLING OVER
This Westlake Fortress is giving big Tony Stark energy š¤
Yours for $6,995,000
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