šŸ¤ šŸ” Selling Austin #35

Is Austin Going Down? šŸ“‰

Hi yā€™all, welcome!

There are now over 1,000 Selling Austin readers! Iā€™m so excited each one of you is here, your support means so much to me.

Pay attention to some serious Developer Drama šŸ‘€ + letā€™s check the data - is Austin going down?? šŸ“‰ 

If we havenā€™t met, hi! šŸ‘‹ Iā€™m Kirtana, an ex-dentist turned Realtor. Thinking about buying a house, listing your home for sale or renting?

Letā€™s work together! Reply to this newsletter, email me, tweet me or send me a carrier pigeon. šŸ¦ļø 

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(*unbiased opinion)

WHAT'S INSIDE

šŸ”¢ THE DATA

There seems to be dull chatter that Austin has gone downhill since the pandemic. Iā€™ve had people ask me where I think the Austin market is headed and if this ā€œZoom townā€ is going to bust.

Iā€™m still bullish. Letā€™s break down why:

During the pandemic, Austinā€™s economy grew at almost double the national rate. It was unsustainable growth and caused home prices to skyrocket. 60% from 2020 to 2022. Rising interest rates tempered the national market but Austin had the largest drop, 11% since its 2022 peak. This was a needed corrective response to the markets bloated high. There are pockets of overbuilding - the speed and density was based on pandemic growth projections. We see this resulting in dropping rents and concessions on downtown high-rises.

Here are some concrete numbers that illustrate the future of Austin.

Letā€™s talk Rainey. 
Anyone remember what that looked like a decade ago?

There are now 11 residential high-rises that are opened/under construction. Estimates come in at 3,800 apartments and 6.4M+ square feet of development (thatā€™s just in Rainey)!

If anyone remembers the Bungalow bar - it sold for $9.3M and is now the home of The Modern - a 365 unit building.

These enormous properties arenā€™t sitting vacant.
Multiple towers still under construction have pre-sold 60%+.

The tallest building in Texas.
Welcome to, the Waterline

Waterline

1,022 ft tall and 2.7 MILLION (yes, million) square feet.

Thatā€™s huge, whatā€™s inside?

  • 700,000 sqft office space

  • 352 condos

  • 251 hotel rooms

  • 24,000 sqft outdoor space

World class developers - the architects of Hudson Yards and One Vanderbilt will put their mark on Austin.

The executives behind Waterline consider ā€œRainey (is) its own version of Soho or Tribeca.ā€

All that to say - we are just at the beginning.

šŸ¤  WHATā€™S HAPPENING AROUND TOWN

It seems like every time I blink, something new pops up in Austin. But not everything is as it seemsā€¦

If youā€™re looking to buy or invest - welcome to your unfair advantage. Know whatā€™s happening before everyone else.

Hereā€™s the story of a $2B portfolio thatā€™s going to 0. With more twists and turns than a reality show - (raised $6.7 from investors for a property they never bought, gross negligence and lawsuitsā€¦)

Interested? Check it out:

ā‰ļø WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU

If youā€™re a buyer/seller/investor/renter or just interested in real estate - this weekly newsletter will help guide your decision making and help you better understand the market.

Buyer
- We are firmly in a buyers market

- Competition historically increases when rates get cut

Seller
- As we move into fall, it will get more difficult to sell

- Keep in mind that Election season has proven to decrease transaction volume - list before or after

Renter
- If youā€™re living in a high rise downtown - NEGOTIATE

- Seeing big complexes offer 6-8 weeks free

šŸ¤¤ HOUSE WORTH DROOLING OVER

This Westlake Fortress is giving big Tony Stark energy šŸ¤– 

Yours for $6,995,000

Thank you for being here! Reply to this email if you have any questions or just to say hello! šŸ‘‹ 

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