šŸ¤ šŸ” Selling Austin #11

šŸ’°ļø What the Fed is Saying + Lake Como in Austin?

Hi yā€™all! Happy Friday - I am stoked youā€™re here!

Pay attention to what the Fed is saying šŸ’°ļø and you wonā€™t want to miss this slice of Italy in Austin šŸ¤¤ 

Here from our feature in The Austin Business Review? Welcome! If you like this, sign up here!

Psst: if you havenā€™t checked out ABR - itā€™s a weekly roundup of local events/insights for Austin business owners. (Hi Ethan šŸ‘‹ )

Okay. Letā€™s go!

Table of Contents

šŸ”¢ THE DATA

Listen, keeping up with the Fed is a full time job.

Letā€™s take a quick step back:
The Fed does not directly affect mortgage rates. They influence them by changing the interest rate that banks charge each other for loans. This impacts the rate at which banks can lend to consumers through mortgages, auto loans etc.

Great.
Here is a breakdown of the April 10th meeting:

Inflation is still being stubborn and consumer prices have risen slightly to 3.5% in March from 3.2% in February. March is the third month in a row with rising consumer prices.
(Psst: weā€™re trying to get back to 2% inflation)

This means, the Fed might keep interest rates as they are. Some experts say the Fed will hold off on making a cut this summer and others say there wonā€™t be a cut at all this year - there may even be an increase.

ā€œInterest rates could hit 8% or moreā€
- Jamie Dimon, Chairman of the Board and CEO of JPMorgan

ā€œForecasting cuts in July instead of Juneā€
- Goldman Sachs Group economics

ā€œMortgage rates will likely continue to hover between that 6.6% and 7% range until inflation shows convincing progress towards the Fedā€™s targetā€ - Hannah Jones, Realtor. com

This dramatic change in the forecast seemed unthinkable at the start of 2024 when the consensus was 6 rate cuts for the year for 1.5% points starting in March. Options traders are now betting the Fed will cut just once this year and banks are revising forecasts based on the 4/10 data.

On Jan 12, 2024 - the consensus was 6.5 rate cuts for 2024

TLDR:

  • Rate cuts are not on the immediate horizon

  • There may be rate increases

  • Current predictions are dramatically different from just one month ago

You can read more here, here and here.

šŸ¤  WHATā€™S HAPPENING IN TOWN

Last week we talked about the Tallest Building in Texas. Today, weā€™ll tackle one of East Austins largest developments.

On April 4th, Kairoi Residential got approval to move forward with a 115 acre mixed-use developed between Ed Bluestein and Highway 183.

This development would transform the current concrete plant into a mixed-use haven

It will be home to:

  • 2,200 multifamily units

  • 385 hotel rooms

  • 1.5 million square feet of office space

  • 20,000 square feet of retail space

  • 127,000 square foot shopping center

  • 134,000 square feet of restaurant space

  • 27,000 square foot theater

  • 8,500 square foot music venue

  • 37,000 square foot civic center

This development will bolster East Austinā€™s transformation and aims to quench the demand for residential, commercial and mixed-use spaces.

šŸ”ļø Psst: Looking for investment properties? The value of the land around this development will skyrocket as it gets closer to completion.

šŸ‘€ DEAL OF THE WEEK

Neighborhood Spotlight: Zilker

Zilker is the ultimate mix of urban/suburban. Youā€™re shielded from the noisiness of the city but have easy access to bars, restaurants and parks.

Price per square foot is high - median ppsqft for Zilker over the past 5 years is $633.93ppsqft.

Take a look at this house:

Listed at: $1,499,000
Kirtanaā€™s Suggestion: $1,400,000 - I would want to get this at sub $600ppsqft. $1.4M puts us at $580ppsqft.

ā‰ļø WHAT THIS INFORMATION MEANS FOR YOU

If youā€™re a buyer/seller/investor/renter or just interested in real estate - this weekly newsletter will help guide your decision making and help you better understand the market.

Buyer
- More inventory and more buyers are hitting the market

- Spring/Summer is historically the highest activity

- Multiple offer situations are back for stellar properties at all price points

- If you know what you want, put in an offer

Seller
- Price your home to SELL. You have competition - do not let your home sit on the market.

- Stage your home

Renter
- If youā€™re living in a high rise downtown - NEGOTIATE

- Seeing big complexes offer 6-8 weeks free

šŸ¤¤ HOUSE WORTH DROOLING OVER

Did someone say, Lake Como, Austin (??) 

Say Hello to a slice of Italy in Austin. All this in Eanes school district? Furniture included? Yours for $11,999,000.

Thank you for being here! Reply to this email if you have any questions or just to say hello! šŸ‘‹ 

P.S. If you think your friends would like this newsletter, Iā€™d love for you to share it with them!